Introduction, by Marius Kristiansen:
Stratagem has invited, and challenged, a number of highly relevant and interesting people to make insightful contributions. From this beautiful palette of different people we have got the pleasure to present a video review titled "What is Intelligence?"
Even though the overarching theme of this review otherwise often is percieved as dull - and "gray" - this video, and the author himself, represent a splash of color.
About the book "The Problem of Secret Intelligence":
In June 2019, Dr. Kjetil Anders Hatlebrekke published a monograph with Edinburgh University Press, The Problem of Secret Intelligence. The book argues that classic intelligence production has been premised on an ill-founded belief in an automatic inference between history and the future. This hypothesis introduces the problem of induction, and how it has negatively shaped intelligence production in the past. Hatlebrekke uses classic intelligence failures to demonstrate how the problem of induction has created a restricted language in intelligence communities that limits threat perception, and thus decreases perception and acknowledgement of threats that appear in new variations. This language also makes intelligence hard to define. In particular, Hatlebrekke, thus analyses the complexity of relationship between discourse failure, intelligence failure, threat perception, intelligence estimates, critical rationalism and the principle of falsification. Hatlebrekke argues that good intelligence is the art of threat perception beyond the limits of our habitual thinking and shared experiences. From my point of view; "The Problem of Secret Intelligence" is a must-read for a wide range of personnel, and not only in the military. The book introduces three new themes, which I assess will represent a paradigm shift when operationalized by intelligence organizations; Digideceptionalisation; The Courage-to-Share Strategy; and The Twelve Images of Intelligence.
